Iran’s next move could be one of low-intensity conflict that could have a big impact on our cyber infrastructures
The level of angst and concern of a hot-war between Iran and the United States has largely been quelled, as time has put space between the flashpoint incidents that caused the relationship to move from contentious to war-footing. As the global news cycles move to other issues—be it the Coronavirus exiting China, the impeachment of the U.S. President Trump or the global economic meetings in Davos—the Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) are putting in place their next move.
Based on a few years of paying attention to Iran’s intelligence actions and capabilities, I believe we will see more activity and intensity into the cyber domain as a part of the IRGC’s “low-intensity conflict” (LIC) doctrine. As the deputy director of the CIA, Robert Gates stated in 1988 in his keynote, “Low-Intensity Conflict: The Role of Intelligence,” LIC is defined largely by where the beholder is situated. He referred to a national security directive that characterized LIC as “political-military confrontation between contending states or groups, below conventional war, and above the routine, peaceful competition among states.”
“LIC is a strategy of conflict, where dilatory tactics are employed with increasing violence to wear down the opponent,” Gates, said, invoking Jean-Paul Sartre: “(The insurgent) tires out his adversary until they are sick of him.”
Thus, one could argue the Iranians have been involved in LIC within both the physical and cyber domains for quite some time.
The FBI told U.S. companies that Iranian hackers can be expected to target “cleared defense contractors, government agencies, academia and non-governmental organizations focused on Iran issues.”
We can track this activity via the Department of Justice’s trail of trials in which IRGC personnel are identified in indictments and court proceedings as actively working to insinuate themselves into U.S. infrastructure. Additionally, the Justice Department’s activities highlight to us the active role the IRGC plays in conducting espionage within the United States.
Iran Briefing | News Press Focus on Human Rights Violation by IRGC, Iran Human Rights
Mar 14, 2020 Comments Off on How Iran Became a Global Vector of Infection for COVID-19
Mar 12, 2020 Comments Off on House passes Iran War Powers resolution opposed by Trump
Mar 10, 2020 Comments Off on Jailed Activist’s Mother Warns About Threats Of Physical, Sexual Abuse In Iran Prison
Mar 09, 2020 Comments Off on Israel’s Ynet: Soleimani assassination didn’t affect Iran activities in Syria
Mar 16, 2020 Comments Off on Amid Coronavirus Crisis, Iranian Officials Plan To Build Nuclear Bomb
Mar 14, 2020 Comments Off on Khamenei Calls Coronavirus ‘Possible Biological Attack’, Asks Guards To Contain It
Mar 11, 2020 Comments Off on Iran Has Far More Coronavirus Cases Than It Is Letting On
Mar 10, 2020 Comments Off on The Revolutionary Guard puts 80 million Iranians at risk for CoronaVirus
Mar 16, 2020 Comments Off on Amid Coronavirus Crisis, Iranian Officials Plan To Build Nuclear BombAmid Coronavirus Crisis, Iranian Officials Plan To Build Nuclear Bomb Amid Coronavirus Crisis, Iranian Officials Plan To Build Nuclear Bomb The IAEA Director-General announced on Tuesday, March 3, 2020, that the Iranian...
Mar 12, 2020 Comments Off on House passes Iran War Powers resolution opposed by TrumpHouse passes Iran War Powers resolution opposed by Trump House passes Iran War Powers resolution opposed by Trump The House of Representatives approved a War Powers resolution Wednesday, aiming to rein in presidential...
Feb 10, 2020 5,177On 3rd of January a news spread in social media regarding Qasem Soleimani and AbuMahdi Mohandes who has died by a US drone strike near Baghdad Airport and this was the end of their lives. In social media, especially Iranian users, there was a chaotic situation, some called of “the general of...