It also backed him militarily by supplying him with arsenal and financial support that has kept him in power. The conventional wisdom says that it would be really hard for Iran to relinquish its buddy in Syria, and yet, looking at it from a more pragmatic standpoint, Iran would surely bet on several horses and is almost certainly setting the preliminaries for a post-Assad Syria.
There are three possible scenarios that would compel Tehran to finally abandon Assad.
Reshuffle in Russia’s policy
The first and most imminent scenario is when Russia decides to reshuffle its own strategy in Syria. The interventionist policy of Russia, Iran’s main ally, was theoretically a game-changing development in favour of Iran’s ambitions in the region.
Nevertheless, this resulted in threatening Iran’s monopolistic vision in Syria. Recently, Russia seems to have the upper hand in the political decision-making process that may eventually jeopardise key Iranian interests..
On the other hand, Russia-Turkey relations are gradually back on track. Russia and Turkey are major players with contradictory perspectives over the Syrian conflict. Russia has militarily backed Assad and helped him stay in power; while Turkey has supported rebel groups to overthrow Assad.
Recently when Recep Tayyip Erdogan and Vladimir Putin met in St Petersburg to patch up their nine-month feud in the aftermath of the Russian jet crisis, one question was finding a political solution to the ongoing conflict in Syria.
Unfortunately, recent developments in Aleppo exposed the two leaders’ failure to narrow their fundamental differences to find common ground for a political solution.
Despite the disagreement, there is still a serious chance to reach a consensus. Putin is expected to visit Turkey this month with the aim of restoring business ties, but primarily to discuss the Syrian war.
The trajectory of Turkey’s foreign policy recorded substantial shifts that will soon show a drastic change in its alliances. Obama’s administration repeatedly disregarded Turkey’s regional perspectives and urged Turkey to move unilaterally to protect its strategic interests.
Iran Briefing | News Press Focus on Human Rights Violation by IRGC, Iran Human Rights
Jul 16, 2018 Comments Off on Iran is Imprisoning University Students Accused of Attending Protests
Jul 15, 2018 Comments Off on How the Iran deal is bringing terror to Europe and other commentary
Jul 13, 2018 Comments Off on Trump Says Iran Will Seek Deal To Ease Economic ‘Pain’ From Sanctions
Jul 10, 2018 Comments Off on Iran vows to sell as much oil as it can in face of U.S. sanctions
Jul 19, 2018 Comments Off on Rouhani Facing Widespread Outrage as Student Protesters Remain Behind Bars and Receive Harsh Sentences
Jul 18, 2018 Comments Off on Iran Sues U.S. Over Broken Nuclear Deal and Reimposed Sanctions
Jul 11, 2018 Comments Off on US says that Iran is training terrorists in Iraq
Jul 09, 2018 Comments Off on Iran detains teen over Instagram dance videos
Jul 18, 2018 Comments Off on Iran Sues U.S. Over Broken Nuclear Deal and Reimposed SanctionsIran Sues U.S. Over Broken Nuclear Deal and Reimposed Sanctions Iran has sued the United States at the International Court of Justice in a new, if dubious, strategy to nullify the nuclear sanctions reimposed by...
Jul 15, 2018 Comments Off on How the Iran deal is bringing terror to Europe and other commentaryHow the Iran deal is bringing terror to Europe and other commentary America’s socialists are taking the Democratic Party by storm and New York City is leading the way. So Charles Lane at The Washington Post...
Jul 14, 2016 Comments Off on Corps’ one hundred thousand of triggered missiles in Lebanon:An official Israel-threatening by CorpsIran Briefing: Since August 7, 1979, when Ayatollah Khomeini declared the last Friday of Ramadhan as “Quds Day”, the Islamic Republic has always tried to hold an imposing ceremony by using state resources as well as requiring people’s involvement. This year’s Quds march had fundamental...