Iran Briefing (Exclusive) – By approaching the 11th presidential election in Iran, the struggle among rival forces for the managing election and getting the expected result is getting severe. In this frame, it can be mentioned the interference of different organizations in the process and result of the election in favor of their candidate. Like previous election, the people have no role and the competition is not for attracting the people’s vote, but for planning the election and votes by dependent forces to the government who have the power.
In this way, there are two main streams: First, pro-Ahmadinejad forces, leading by Esfandiar Rahimmoshaie who is called “Perverted Stream” by IRGC and pro- khamenei forces. Second, pro-Khamenei radical forces, supported by IRGC and other security organizations that are around Khamenei and by flattery are seeking positions. Recently, both of them have warned about the accuracy of election in their formal tribunes and these struggles are getting more severe, day by day.
Ali Saeedi, the Supreme Leader’s representative in IRGC has said recently: “the intrinsic task of IRGC is engineering a reasonable election” and has warned that IRGC will suppress any interfering.
Ramezan Sharif, Public Relations Officer of IRGC has explained Ali Saeedi’s mean: “engineering a reasonable election means the legal missions and responsibilities which are to help the safety of election.”
One day after, in reaction of Ali Saeedi’s comment, Ahmadinejad said that those who want to manage the people, people will manage them. He also emphasized that “[his] government has announced its stance about a clear election” and said: “No one must not and cannot interfere the people’s election.”
Esfandiar Rahim Moshaie, who is supposed to be Ahmadinejad’s favorite candidate for presidential election, recently has said that Ahmadinejad’s government will react to any “Distortion” in the election and will not ignore it at all.
Sadeq Larijani, head of Iran’s Judiciary has also warned Ahmadinejad about “Distortion” and has said that the Guardian Council’s decision is “the final word”. The implementation of election in Iran is by government and especially Interior Ministry.
IRGC fears that Ahmadinejad who is the person in charge for the election will change the result of the election in favorer of his favorite candidate. Ahmadinejad also fears that IRGC and other organizations close to Khamenei will engineer the election to change the result in favor of Khamenei before election. IRGC in advance has begun its propaganda against Esfandiar Rahim Moshaie, Ahmadinejad and also reformists in governmental papers and news agencies.
IRGC has managed its forces to change the result of the election. Isa Farhadi, governer of Tehran on March 13 has expressed that it is predicted there will be “doubt” in the 2013 presidential election and 99 battalion of Basij forces and 15000 police are ready for the election.
Mohammadreza Toyserkani, Supreme learer’s representative in Basij in the summit of Bsijis on 6th April has said that Basij must be the axis. The enemies expect that Basij should be inactive and some people inside country intensify it. It is betrayal to the passing away Imam [Khomeini] and the present Imam [Khamenei]. He emphasized that Basij will support a candidate who is fundamentalist [pro-Khamenei] in the presidential election.
Mohammadreza Naghdi, Head of Basij Organization has announced that the next president must be pro-khamenei and the command of political and economic epic has been issued. Economic epic is dependent on political epic, because the election of a powerful government can make the way for economic development.
Couple of months ago, the Supreme Leader’s representative in IRGC also has announced explicitly that the next president must be coordinated with the Leader. These expressions are being told while since two years ago, most of the conservatives close to Khamenei turned against Ahmadinejad because of his disobedience in the way of Khamenei and disclosures about the illegal actions of IRGC especially in the contraband goods and so on. The behavior of Esfandiar Rahim Moshaie was an excuse for pro-khamenei forces that Ahmadinejad’s conservative class to be called “Perverted Stream” so the situation for their elimination in the political aspect became provided.
Finally, Ali Akbar Velayati, consultant of Khamenei said the final word and in confirmation of IRGC commanders and authorities, announced the final candidate of “coalition and development” will be chosen according to Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s point of view and the assessment of coalitions’ three members.
Ali Akbar Velayati, international consultant of the Supreme Leader, Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, mayor of Tehran, Gholamali Hadad Adel, parliament’s member, has formed “coalition and development” or the triple coalition.
Both pro-Khamenei and pro-Ahmadinejad forces have joint stances about reformists and independent candidates. Both of them are trying to prevent reformists and independent candidates to win the presidential election.
According to the expressions and conflicts between IRGC commanders and governments’ authorities, it can be said that conservatives close to Khamenei and IRGC are to engineer and retouch the election to change the result in favor of Khamenei which means one of the candidates of “coalition and development” who will be selected by Supreme Leader as Velayati said. Probably their engineering of election will be via disqualification of non-pro-Khamenei candidates. In election they may also make people to vote by force, money and retouch the election’s boxes. After election, if there was any protest, they will suppressed it by IRGC, Basij and police as Sadegh Larijani, head of Judiciary, and Governor of Tehran have warned.
In fact, the goal of IRGC is the election of a president who is obedience to Khamenei and IRGC. In the way to homogenize the government, IRGC is eliminating rival and critic groups and forming a closed society and spreading religious totalitarianism via military force and thinks engendering the election is a need for the basements of power. If they became successful, they will give whole power in Iran that means a full-scale oligarchy around the axis of Vilayat-e Faqih (Khamenei) and imposing its thoughts to the society.
Elchin Hatami