How Iran’s Revived Weapons Exports Could Boost Its Proxies

How Iran’s Revived Weapons Exports Could Boost Its Proxies

How Iran’s Revived Weapons Exports Could Boost Its Proxies – The nuclear deal will open up opportunities for Iran to export arms, though exactly when …

Given Tehran’s noncompliant track record and the UN Security Council’s imperfect arms restrictions, the nuclear deal could allow Iran to offer its allies a growing range of weapons systems designed to increase survivability and lethality in asymmetric warfare scenarios.

How Iran's Revived Weapons Exports
How Iran’s Revived Weapons Exports Could Boost Its Proxies

The nuclear deal will open up opportunities for Iran to export arms, though exactly when and under what conditions is a matter of dispute. This raises the question of how the upsurge in arms exports could affect the Islamic Republic’s allies and proxies in the Middle East and beyond. In the past, UN Security Council resolutions have done little to prevent Iranian arms deals; in February 2014, for example, Tehran signed a $195 million agreement to sell arms and ammunition to Iraq, in clear violation of Resolution 1747 (2007). It is therefore important to assess what types of weapons Iran might export and to whom — whether it decides to exploit gaps in Resolution 2231 (the Security Council document approving the nuclear deal and extending the arms embargo), flout the UN entirely, or simply wait until sanctions and other restrictions are lifted in the coming months and years.

A SIZEABLE INDUSTRY

Iran’s military-industrial complex has been growing rapidly since the mid-1990s. Today, it reportedly exports weapons to fifty-seven countries, many in conflict areas, in violation of UNSCR 1747. According to the arms-transfer database maintained by the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI), Iran exported at least $200 million worth of arms and ammunitions between 2010 and 2014; the real figure is probably much higher and is expected to rise even further as various restrictions are relaxed and eventually lifted. Iran’s traditional arms customers are believed to be Middle Eastern, African, and South American countries, but its market share may grow gradually in emerging markets if it can keep offering cheap, reliable weapons.

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How Iran’s Revived Weapons Exports – How Iran’s Revived Weapons Exports – How Iran’s Revived Weapons Exports – How Iran’s Revived Weapons Exports – How Iran’s Revived Weapons Exports – How Iran’s Revived Weapons Exports – How Iran’s Revived Weapons Exports – How Iran’s Revived Weapons Exports 

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