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Why Iran wants the bomb

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Iran’s unanimous desire to have the security of nuclear weapons puts it on a collision course with the West.

For a country riven by violent political, religious and social divisions, the one issue that is guaranteed to unite Iran’s 75 million citizens is their country’s inalienable right to build an atom bomb.

Any discussion of its nuclear programme must, of necessity, commence with the oft-repeated Iranian caveat that its ambitions are peaceful, and that they are focused solely on the development of nuclear power, rather than building weapons. But that claim now looks increasingly threadbare following publication of this week’s uncompromising report by the Vienna-based International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) which, for the first time, accuses Iran of trying to acquire a nuclear weapons arsenal.

That is certainly the conclusion most reasonable people will draw from the report, which provides a damning catalogue of wilful Iranian wrong-doing lasting more than a decade. It details Iran’s clandestine efforts to obtain fissile material whose usual application is for the production of nuclear warheads. It confirms that Iran is actively seeking to develop a long-range missile that can be fitted with a nuclear warhead. And it reveals that Iranian scientists – aided by a rogue nuclear expert from the former Soviet Union – have conducted experiments to develop a trigger mechanism for a nuclear weapon.

And yet, rather than being dismayed by the IAEA’s findings, which is the instinctive response of most Westerners, I suspect the majority of Iranians will be delighted that, for all their political and economic travails, the report shows that their country is still very much on course to join the world’s elite club of nuclear-armed powers.

We in the West might be horrified at the prospect of the mullahs getting the atom bomb, but Iranians have a very different take on their country’s nuclear ambitions. Whether they are Islamist hardliners devoted to the rigorous application of Sharia law, or party-going secularists from the prosperous suburbs of north Tehran, their ideological and political differences disappear the moment there is any discussion of Iran’s quest for nuclear parity with other world powers.

This national mood of uniformity on Iran’s most contentious issue was very much in evidence during the hotly disputed 2009 presidential election campaign, which resulted in Mahmoud Ahmadinejad being elected to serve a second four-year term. Thousands of people were killed or injured as supporters of Iran’s opposition Green Movement fought street battles with the regime’s security forces. But while Green Movement activists such as Mir Hossein Mousavi, who served as Iran’s prime minister in the 1980s, were highly critical of many of the policies pursued by Mr Ahmadinejad during his first term, no word of protest was raised against the country’s relentless pursuit of nuclear technology.

One of the West’s more futile diplomatic enterprises of the past 30 years has been to attempt to divide Tehran’s ruling elites into groups of moderates and hardliners – those such as its former president, Mohammed Khatami (another Green Movement acolyte), with whom the West could do business, and those, such as the present incumbent, who are clearly beyond the pale.

But such distinctions are meaningless so far as Iran’s nuclear programme is concerned. Many of the biggest advances in Iran’s nuclear development were made when so-called moderates such as Mr Khatami and former president Hashemi Rafsanjani ruled Tehran. Mr Rafsanjani was responsible for initiating the nuclear programme in the late Eighties, while some of the most controversial developments, such as construction of the underground uranium enrichment facility at Natanz, were built during the reform-minded Mr Khatami’s presidency. Indeed, the CIA’s 2007 finding that, until 2003, Iran was actively working on a nuclear weapon refers specifically to Mr Khatami’s time in office.

To understand why the nuclear issue generates so much enthusiasm among ordinary Iranians of all political and religious persuasions we should try to look at it from the perspective of the world’s most populous Shia Muslim state rather than, as we so often tend to do, from our own.

The widely held national desire of Iranians to reassert the influence their country once enjoyed, when the mere mention of the Persian empire struck fear into the hearts of its enemies, is a factor that should not be discounted lightly. But the more prosaic reality is that ordinary Iranians crave nuclear arms because of a deep-seated sense of insecurity that they are vulnerable to attack by their enemies. Iran’s nuclear programme was, after all, conceived during the darkest days of the Iran-Iraq war in the Eighties when Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini, the Islamic Revolution’s founding father, reluctantly conceded that Iran needed to do whatever was necessary – including the development of nuclear weapons – if it was to prevent the country from being conquered by hostile Arab states.

Arguably one of the main reasons Iran’s neighbour, Pakistan, has avoided being invaded by its deadly rival India is the fact that Islamabad has a stockpile of nuclear warheads it could deploy as a last resort. Saddam Hussein’s Iraq may no longer threaten Iran’s borders, but there are plenty of other Arab countries, such as Saudi Arabia, that would like nothing more than to see the overthrow of the ayatollahs’ brutal autocracy. Tensions between Tehran and Riyadh have been running high for decades, mainly because the ayatollahs do not regard the Saudi royal family as suitable guardians of the holy Islamic shrines at Mecca and Medina.

In previous years, there have been several violent incidents when Iranian pilgrims have fought running battles with the Saudi security forces. More recently tensions have risen between the two countries after the Saudis intervened in Bahrain to protect the ruling Sunni Muslim Khalifa dynasty after Shia Muslim protesters staged anti-government protests.

Iran’s anger at the Saudis’ heavy-handed mistreatment of Shia demonstrators has resulted in an upsurge of activity by Iranian Revolutionary Guards in Saudi Arabia’s Eastern Province, where they have been working to incite local Shia residents to rise up against Riyadh. This deepening mood of hostility between the two countries no doubt also explains the recent Iranian plot to assassinate the Saudi Arabian ambassador to Washington.

But by provoking the Saudis, the Iranians are playing with fire. The Saudis are one of Washington’s closest regional allies, and even the conflict-averse President Barack Obama might feel compelled to intervene militarily if Iran were seriously to jeopardise the kingdom’s security. Nor can the threat Iran faces from Israel’s estimated stockpile of 200-odd nuclear warheads be discounted. The rhetoric of some senior Israeli cabinet ministers, such as Foreign Minister Avigdor Lieberman, suggests they are itching for a fight with Iran.

So it is not hard to see why Tehran appears to be almost obsessed with developing nuclear weapons, even if it means being treated as an international pariah by the outside world. So far as most Iranians are concerned, what does the hardship caused by a few economic sanctions matter when the very survival of their country is at stake?

Trying to rationalise Iran’s pursuit of nuclear technology may, though, prove to be a lot easier than resolving the security concerns it raises for the West. There is unanimity among the major Western powers that a nuclear-armed Iran must be avoided at all costs, not least because the regime’s inherent instability, with different factions constantly vying for power, raises serious questions about who would actually have their finger on the nuclear button.

If the weapons were controlled by the more ideologically committed elements within the Revolutionary Guards, would they be tempted to pass them on to their terrorist allies elsewhere in the region? The stream of anti-Western and anti-Israeli vitriol that emanates from the current leadership in Tehran certainly does not provide much reassurance to the West that Iran’s nuclear intentions are benign.

The conclusions reached by the IAEA will increase the pressure on Western policymakers to do everything in their power to prevent Iran achieving its ambition, even if it means launching military action to destroy Iran’s nuclear facilities. This is a course of action that no sane person would advocate, particularly given Iran’s highly credible threat to cause havoc throughout the region if attacked.

In the immediate future, all the talk at the UN will focus on ramping up the sanctions programme against Iran – and winning the support of China and Russia, which is crucial to its effectiveness – in the hope that the mullahs can be brought to their senses.

But given that most experts believe Iran will have the means to build a bomb within a year, military action may become inevitable if sanctions fail. As things stand today, it seems that the very different worlds of revolutionary Islam and Western democracy are determined on a collision course.

Another Iranian journalist sentenced to prison

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Iranian journalist Mehran Faraji received a confirmed prison sentence from the appellate court today.

The International Campaign for Human Rights in Iran reports that Faraji’s six-month suspended sentence comes on top of a six-month jail term for “propaganda activities against the regime.” He was sentenced to one year in prison in the preliminary court.

According to the report, Faraji was held in solitary confinement throughout his arrest and was denied a defence attorney at court.

Faraji was arrested last December and released two months later on bail of $100,000.

Faraji has worked with several Iranian dailies as well as the Iranian Student News Agency (ISNA) and the Iranian Labour News Agency (ILNA).

In the past two years, many journalists have been arrested on similar charges and many have received stiff sentences.

 

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Majid Dori’s Mother: “He Falls Into Comma & Can’t Stand up for Days”

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HRANA News Agency – While Majid Dori remains locked up in Behbahan Prison for the last 29 months, his family’s efforts to release him on furlough or transfer him to a prison in Tehran have been unsuccessful. Majid Dori is an imprisoned student expelled from Allameh Tabatabai Univerity (ATU) and exiled to the city of Behbahan in Khuzestan Province.

In an interview with Jaras News, Monaver Hashemi, Majid Dori’s mother, talked about her son’s latest condition and said, “Majid suffers from migraines and anemia. He experiences dizziness before falling into a coma. For 3-4 days at a time, he can’t stand up. We have explained all this to the authorities. Before the Persian New Year, he was taken to see a doctor who ordered a brain scan, but nothing was done. He wasn’t taken for tests or follow-ups.”

Monaver Hashemi added, “When I saw him last time, Majid had caught a cold and was very weak such that he couldn’t talk. When he called later, he sounded better. I have told the Prosecutor about Majid’s physical problems to no avil. We can’t do anything else. We are told that our request for furlough is being considered! It has been four months since Ramadan. Our request is still being considered! I follow up every week, but there is no news. They just tell me they’ll contact me if there is any news. Approximately 20 days ago, we went to Behbahan to see Majid, but since then, we don’t know how he is doing.”

While complaining about the fact that her son hasn’t been given furlough or transferred to a prison in Tehran, Monaver Hashemi said, “We must travel the long distance from Karaj to Behbahan. Unfortunately, we can’t travel this distance every week to see Majid who is also upset about this hardship when he sees us. We have followed up on getting him released on furlough. Majid has been in prison for 29 months now but hasn’t been given even one hour of furlough. We have requested multiple times to transfer him to a prison in Tehran, but our requests have been denied.”

Majid Dori was arrested on July 9, 2009 in his sister’s house in the city of Qazvin located northwest of Tehran. He was charged with the crime of Enmity with God (Moharebeh), acting against national security and disturbing the peace. In December 2009, he was sentenced to 10 years in prison and exiled to Behbahan Prison for five years.

On May 20, 2010, the Appeals Court then reduced this verdict to 6 years in prison but confirmed the order for his exile. In August 2010, without prior notice, prison officials placed Majid Dari in shackles and transferred him to a prison in the city of Behbahan in Khuzestan Province. Since then, Majid Dari has been serving his prison term in exile.

 

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Detention of two other Gonabadi Dervishes in Kavar

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Majzooban Noor – Further to persecution and arresting of Gonabadi Dervishes in Kavar, today 2 other adherents of this Order were arrested.

According to Majzooban Noor website’s reporter, on Anan 19, 1390 (November 10, 2011), the security and plain-clothes forces inspecting the house of Ali Jan Dehghan and Yahya Dehghan, illegally arrested and transferred them to an unknown place.

Detaining these two Gonabadi Dervishes who are father and brother of Mehdi Dehghan, the number of arrested Gonabadi Dervishes in Kavar during last month has been increased to 4 cases.

Imprisoned Majzooban Noor website’s managers and Gonabadi Dervishes’ lawyers in the security section of Evin prison, after two months solitary confinement, were transferred to the communal blocks.

According to Majzooban Noor Website’s reporter, these transferred Gonabadi Dervishes are Messrs. Farshid Yadollahi, Reza Entesari, Afshin Karampour, Amir Eslami, Omid Behroozi, and Mostafa Danshjoo.

It is mentionable that from detained Dervishes in Evin prison, Hamid Moradi one of Majzooban Noor Website’s managers is still in the solitary confinement.

And arresting and detaining of the mentioned Dervishes in Evin prison, happened after recent actions of the security and plain-clothes forces against Gonabadi Dervishes which its new stage was started on Shahrivar 11, 1390 (September 02, 2011) and is going on with the persecution of them and illegal and violent inspection of their houses

 

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Ongoing judicial harassment of members of the “Mourning Mothers”

 

The Observatory has been informed by the Iranian League for the Defence of Human Rights (LDDHI) of the sentencing in appeal and summons to serve prison sentences of supporters of the “Mourning Mothers [1], Ms. Jila Karamzadeh-Makvandi, Ms. Leyla Seyfollahi, Mr. Nader Ahsani, and of the continuing judicial harassment of Ms. Mansoureh Behkish, who is also engaged in the fight against the execution of prisoners.


New information:

The Observatory for the Protection of Human Rights Defenders, a joint programme of the International Federation for Human Rights (FIDH) and the World Organisation Against Torture (OMCT), has received new information and requests your urgent intervention in the following situation in Iran.

According to the information received, on November 8 and 6, 2011 respectively, Ms. Leyla Seyfollahi and Ms. Jila Karamzadeh-Makvandi were informed of summons to go to Evin prison to serve two-year prison terms. Before the summons, their lawyers had not been notified the result of the appeal, but found out that the Appeal Court had decided to reduce their four-year sentence to two years imprisonment with an additional two years suspended for five years. On November 6, Mr. Nader Ahsani was also informed of a summons to go to Evin prison to serve his two-year prison sentence. The three human rights defenders were given 20 days to report themselves to prison otherwise their bails will be confiscated.

Additionally, on November 5, 2011, Ms. Mansoureh Behkish was notified that she would stand trial before Branch 15 of the Islamic Revolution Court on December 25, 2011. She was initially due to stand trial on October 11, 2011, but the trial was postponed due to the absence of the Prosecutor’s Representative.

The Observatory strongly denounces this continuing judicial harassment as well as the failure of the Courts to ensure that the right to defence of mentioned human rights defenders is respected, which seems to merely aim at sanctioning their peaceful and legitimate human rights activities.

Background information:

On February 6, 2010 and in the night of February 8, Ms. Omolbanin Ebrahimi, Ms. Elham Ahsani, Mr. Nader Ahsani, Ms. Jila Karamzadeh-Makvandi, Ms. Leyla Seyfollahi and Ms.Fatemeh Rastegari-Nasab were arrested at their places of residence. Ms. Farzaneh Zeynaliwas arrested on January 9, 2010 in Laleh Park. They were reportedly detained at Evin prison before being subsequently released. In May 2010 and March 2011, summary hearings took place before the Court of First Instance of Tehran. On April 9, 2011, Ms. Jila Karamzadeh-Makvandi and Ms. Leyla Seyfollahi were sentenced to four years’ imprisonment for the creation of an “illegal organisation”, namely “The Mourning Mothers” and taking action against national security”. On the same date, Mr. Nader Ahsani was sentenced to two years in prison on charges of alleged “intent to commit crimes against national security” and “propaganda activities against the Islamic Republic”. The three defenders remain free pending their appeal.

On June 12, 2011, Ms. Mansoureh Behkish was arrested by a group of security agents in a street of Tehran at 8 p.m., and was subsequently transferred to the Evin prison. She was released on bail on July 9, 2011. Ms. Behkish has been subjected to several interrogations and arbitrary detentions in the past as a result of her human rights activities, in particular with regards to her defence of political prisoners in Iran.

Other supporters of the “Mourning Mothers” have been subjected to judicial harassment and arbitrary detention as well. For instance, Ms. Akram Neghabi and Ms. Jila Mahdavian spent 2.5 months in solitary detention from October 9, 2010 until the opening of their trial on December 30, 2010. Both remain free pending the verdict, which has not been issued as of this date.

Actions requested :

Please write to the Iranian authorities and ask them to:

i. Guarantee in all circumstances the physical and psychological integrity of Ms. Mansoureh Behkish, Ms. Leyla Seyfollahi, Ms. Jila Karamzadeh-Makvandi, Mr. Nader Ahsani, Ms. Omolbanin Ebrahimi, Ms. Elham Ahsani, Ms. Fatemeh Rastegari-Nasab and Ms. Farzaneh Zeynali, Ms. Akram Neghabi and Ms. Jila Mahdavian;

ii. Put an end to any kind of harassment – including at the judicial level – against human rights defenders in Iran, including supporters of the ”Mourning Mothers”, notably Ms. Mansoureh Behkish, Ms. Leyla Seyfollahi, Ms. Jila Karamzadeh-Makvandi, Mr. Nader Ahsani, Ms. Omolbanin Ebrahimi, Ms. Elham Ahsani, Ms. Fatemeh Rastegari-Nasab and Ms. Farzaneh Zeynali, Ms. Akram Neghabi and Ms. Jila Mahdavian;

iii. Conform in any circumstances with the provisions of the Declaration on Human Rights Defenders, adopted on December 9, 1998 by the United Nations General Assembly, in particular:

- its article 1, which states that “everyone has the right, individually or in association with others, to promote the protection and realization of human rights and fundamental freedoms at the national and international levels”;

- its article 5.b, which states that “everyone has the right, individually and in association with others, at the national and international levels, (…) to form, join and participate in non-governmental organizations, associations or groups”;

- its article 12.2 which provides that “the State shall take all necessary measures to ensure the protection by the competent authorities of everyone, individually and in association with others, against any violence, threats, retaliation, de facto or de jure adverse discrimination, pressure or any other arbitrary action as a consequence of his or her legitimate exercise of the rights referred to in the present Declaration”;

iv. Ensure in all circumstances respect for human rights and fundamental freedoms in accordance with international human rights standards and international instruments ratified by Iran.


Addresses:

· Leader of the Islamic Republic, His Excellency Ayatollah Sayed Ali Khamenei, The Office of the Supreme Leader, Shahid Keshvardoost St., Jomhuri Eslami Ave., Tehran, Islamic Republic of Iran, E-Mail: [email protected], Faxes: + 98 21 649, + 98 21 649 / 21 774 2228

· President Mr. Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, the Presidency, Palestine Avenue, Azerbaijan Intersection, Tehran, Islamic Republic of Iran, Fax: + 98 21 649 5880.

· Head of the Judiciary, His Excellency Ayatollah Sadeq Larijani, Ministry of Justice, c/o Public relations Office, Number 4, 2 Azizi Street, Vali Asr Ave., above Pasteur Street intersection, Tehran, Islamic Republic of Iran, Fax: +98 21 879 6671 / +98 21 3 311 6567, Email: [email protected] / [email protected]

· Minister of Foreign Affairs, Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Sheikh Abdolmajid Keshk-e Mesri Av, Tehran, Islamic Republic of Iran, Fax: +98-21-66743149

· Permanent Mission of the Islamic Republic of Iran, Chemin du Petit-Saconnex 28, 1209 Geneva, Switzerland, Fax: +41 22 7330203, Email: [email protected]

· Embassy of Iran in Brussels, 15 a avenue Franklin Roosevelt, 1050 Bruxelles, Belgium, Fax: + 32 2 762 39 15, Email: [email protected]

Please also write to the diplomatic representations of Iran in your respective countries.

Iran: Security Forces Storm the Former Office of Opposition Leader Mir Hossein Mousavi

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Tuesday November 7th, 2011 – Kaleme reports that the former office of opposition leader Mir Hossein Mousavi, located in one of the side streets in front of the Museum of Contemporary Art in Tehran was stormed by security forces who proceeded to remove some equipment from the premises.

According to reports received from Tehran, security forces confiscated a number of computers, books and personal belongings. This bizarre and illegal move took place despite the fact that Mir Hossein Mousavi and his wife Zahra Rahnavard continue to be under an illegal house arrest that has been described by the Grand Ayatollahs and non religious authorities as ignoring all rules of law.

It is worth mentioning that this recent raid has taken place while Mir Hossein Mousavi’s daughters continue to be deprived of all visitation with their parents and security pressure on the daughters is reportedly increasing on a daily basis and at its highest levels in the past 8 months.

It looks as though this new development and the increased pressure on Mir Hossein Mousavi and his family are linked to the domestic challenges facing the ruling government and the recent wave of escalating infighting amongst government officials as a result of the apparent failure of their inefficient and imprudent government policies.

In all likelihood, this new wave of pressure is designed to set the stage for further media and communication restrictions and the deployment of security initiatives aimed at engaging in psychological warfare in order to over shadow the recent central bank embezzlement scandal and distract the nation from the challenges at hand.

 

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Hardline website in Iran says Ahmajdinejad is working with Israelis in plot against republic

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Al Arabiya – A website belonging to supporters of the Iranian supreme leader published a headline stating that the country’s president and his supporters are working with the Israelis in a plot against the Islamic republic.

But the website, www.ammariyon.ir, removed the text of the story less than an hour after it had been posted, leaving the headline only. The country’s supervisory media control had requested that the story be removed.

The Iranian hardliners referred to Mahmoud Ahmadinejad and his top adviser and chief of staff, Esfandiar Rahim Mashaei, and their supporters as the “deviant ones.”

Recent violent confrontations between the Republican Guards and Ahmadinejad supporters have resulted in the arrest of a number of the president’s supporters.

The row between Ahmadinejad and the country’s supreme leader, Ali Khamanei, began in April 2011 when Ahmadinejad fired his intelligence minister, Heydar Moslehi.

Ahmadinejad’s decision was overruled by Khamenei and the two men have been in conflict ever since.

The row has also raised a constitutional crisis. Under the Iranian constitution Ahmadinejad has the right to fire a member of his cabinet. While there is no explicit law allowing the Supreme Leader supervision of the cabinet, his role as the nation’s religious leader gives him de facto authority over virtually all government policy.

 

An excerpt from the website apologizes to the readers and says that it had to remove an article stating that Mahmoud Ahmadinejad is conspiring with the Israelis against the republic after receiving a written request from the Iranian media control agency. (Al Arabiya photo)

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The sale of any technology aimed at repressing the opposition in Iran must be stopped

 

Rahana – The Islamic Republic of Iran has shown that it’s efforts in achieving growth and excellence in science and technology are not for the good of its citizens, but rather for strengthening the power of the regime.

In the past month there have been reports in news outlets disclosing that several European companies have been involved in transactions and sales of telecommunications and computer technologies to the Iranian regime used for the tracking and identification of dissidents. Stockholm-based Ericsson AB, U.K.-based Creativity Software Ltd. and Dublin-based AdaptiveMobile Security Ltd are companies that did business with Telecommunication Company of Iran and also companies that provide phone lines in Iran such as Irancel.

In official and unofficial circles of the human rights community in Iran the recent disclosure of the sales of security systems to the Islamic Republic for the restriction of civil and political liberties has been well known. Iran has been condemned by the EU for it’s jamming of international satellite transmissions into the country in order to prevent their broadcasts. But now there is new documentation, along with interviews with witnesses and victims substantiating how the regime’s agents use these acquired technologies to suppress, investigate, and prosecute it’s citizens. Activist groups have always maintained, that these technologies sold to Iran by companies that are based in countries claiming to value human rights and democracy, are used for censoring and blocking the free flow of information between the citizens of Iran. By now the world community should clearly see how these technologies not only limit the flow of information in Iran, but they also assist in suppressing the country’s civil and human rights activists.

The Islamic Republic of Iran has shown that it’s efforts in achieving growth and excellence in science and technology are not for the good of its citizens, but rather for strengthening the power of the regime. Certainly the European companies that sell technologies for their own economic profit, that are used for suppressing citizens of Iran and violating their human rights, cannot morally justify being affiliated with one of the most oppressive governments and biggest violators of human rights in today’s world.

Empowering the Islamic Republic of Iran by providing them with these tools gravely hurts the human rights of Iran’s citizens and it will end up disrupting the world order and stability. Earlier the Dutch government announced that Internet users in Iran were spied on by hackers after a security breach enabled hackers to steal security certificates. This was considered a huge threat to global cyber security.

Western governments should be mindful that the perils stemming from an irresponsible government that is supporting or organizing such threatening operations will eventually reach the gates of their lands.

Human Rights House of Iran condemns the irresponsible behavior of the above named companies along with all individuals who in the name of profit making sell intelligence, equipment and technologies to help a government known for it’s dismal human rights record. These opportunist firms are partners of the regime and therefore bare responsibility for the repressive actions taken by the regime. The sale of any technology that works for filtering, detection or identification resulting in the restriction of personal freedoms and the arrest of dissidents, is a gross violation of human rights. Those who sell these technologies must be held accountable for their actions.

Human Rights House of Iran while condemning any act that violates the fundamental freedom of Iranian citizens, asks the governments of the free world to show responsibility by preventing the actions of the profit seeking firms in their countries, demanding that these companies respect human rights and not be the advocates of governments that are violators of human rights.

Human Rights House of Iran asks all human rights agencies and activists, specially the UN Human Rights Council, to along with their condemnation of such acts, ask the countries that are signatories of the Human Rights Charter to refrain from supporting non democratic governments that are known violators of human rights and abuse their citizens. The free world must be accountable to its international obligations to protect, develop and expand the freedom of all nations, be the advocate of the free flow of information, while rejecting censorship, suppression of freedom and abuse of human rights.

 

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Singer Arya Aramnejad Arrested

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HRANA News Agency – Arya Aramnejad, young songwriter and singer, was arrested a few hours ago when five intelligence agents in Mazandaran Province raided his house.

According to a report by Gooya News, Arya Aramnejad had gone to the city of Sari, the capital of Mazandaran Province, in order to appear in front of the Appeals Court handling his conviction. Upon returning home, he was arrested on Tuesday, November 8, 2011 and taken to an unknown location.

During this raid, Ayra Aramnejad was beaten and battered by intelligence agents from Babol County and then handcuffed. Intelligence agents also searched his house and seized the singer’s handwritten notes, documents, computer and other personal belongings.

 

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Second Iranian threat to destroy Israel names its Dimona reactor

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For the second time in four days, Iran has threatened to annihilate Israel. Sunday, Nov. 6, Tehran said four missiles would be enough to kill a million Israelis. Wednesday, Nov. 9, Gen. Masoud Jazayeri, deputy commander of Iran’s armed forces, said an American or Israeli attack on Iran’s nuclear facilities would not only result in the Jewish state’s extinction – “Dimona is the most accessible target” – but generate a response that “would not be limited to the Middle East.”

DEBKAfile’s military sources interpret this to mean a missile attack on American bases in Europe and US Sixth Fleet vessels in the Mediterranean.

“The smallest action by Israel [against Iran] and we will see its destruction,” Gen. Jazayeri went on to say. “We have plans of reprisal ready for any attack.”

DEBKAfile’s Iranian sources report all this muscle-flexing is a sign of mounting edginess in Tehran as the debate in the United States and Israel over the need for a military operation against Iran gains momentum following the UN nuclear agency (IAEA)’s exposure of its nuclear program as weapon-focused.
Some American papers have responded with stories designed to discourage the Netanyahu government from a military offensive. They claim Israel is short of the bombers and air crews needed to conduct the 1,000 rapid-fire sorties required for a successful operation. The damage would therefore be slight, they argue, enough only to hold Iran’s nuclear progress back by no more than a year or two at best. Israel would have to repeat its operation every few years.
Other US sources maintain that a unilateral Israel strike on Iran would seriously undercut America’s Middle East influence and call for unwilling US intervention in the war to rescue Israel from the fury of Iranian missiles.

According to another view expounded by certain US columnists Wednesday, no American or Israel attack is to be expected in the coming days, but must eventually take place. President Barack Obama swore Iran would not be allowed to attain a nuclear weapon. He is bound to make good on his pledge just as he kept his promise to liquidate Al Qaeda leader Osama bin Laden and pull US troops out of Iraq and Afghanistan.

In Israel, Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu has told his office to offer no comment on the nuclear agency’s evidence of Iran’s work on an atomic bomb until he is ready and ordered cabinet ministers to keep silent.

There is a certain amount of frustration in Jerusalem over the nuclear agency’s report, mainly because it conceals as much as it reveals. Its researches cover Iran’s nuclear and missile developments only in the years 2008 and 2009 whereas both programs took off dramatically and ominously later.
DEBKAfile’s Jerusalem sources have registered two other dominant responses:

1. If as government sources claim Iran can attain an operational nuclear weapon within a year, why is the Netanyahu government talking about sanctions which everyone knows are useless instead of exercising its military option before it is too late?

2.  Israeli intelligence and military sources and commentators say the agency’s findings are not new but have been known for some years.
If that is the case, many Israelis ask, why was Iran’s nuclear progress kept dark and why didn’t a military attack come up for debate much sooner when it would have been more expeditious?

And if the truth was kept hidden for two or three years, why should anyone believe that the data released this week covers the true picture? The conclusion is inescapable that Iran’s nuclear doings are a lot more dangerous than the agency and the Israeli government would have people believe.
A minority of former government officials in opposition today maintain in response to the IAEA report that Israel should learn to live with a nuclear-armed Iran and in fact has already managed to survive for some years and even prosper in its shadow without coming to harm.
However, most Israelis now suspect that Iran already has the N-bomb but no one responsible is willing to admit it.

 

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