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Lawmaker calls for kicking UN Iranians out of US

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AP – New York Congressman Peter King says the U.S. should kick out Iranian officials at the U.N. in New York and in Washington because many of them are spies.

Speaking at a hearing Wednesday, the Republican says such a move would send a clear signal after the recent alleged Iranian plot to assassinate the Saudi ambassador in Washington.

The U.S. and Iran have no diplomatic relations and thus there are no Iranian diplomats in the U.S. except those attached to the U.N. mission in New York. Iran maintains a fulltime U.N. ambassador and a staff there. Although those diplomats are allowed to live in the U.S. for that purpose, the U.N. is an independent international body and the U.S. cannot simply kick out diplomats accredited there en masse.

 

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US reaches out to Iranians, warns Iran government

 

AP – The Obama administration is setting up an Internet-based embassy to reach out to Iranians hoping to broaden their understanding of the United States, while at the same time studying new sanctions to raise the pressure on Iran’s government over its disputed nuclear program and alleged ties to terrorism.

Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton said in interviews Wednesday with Persian-language media that the U.S. wanted to affirm its friendship to the Iranian people even at a time of rising tensions with the regime in Tehran. As part of that effort, she said a “virtual embassy in Tehran” will be online by the end of the year, helping Iranians wishing to travel or study in the United States.

“We’re trying to reach out to the Iranian people,” Clinton said. “We’ve tried to reach out to the government, just not very successfully.”

Clinton stressed that the U.S. was committed to its two-track approach of engagement and sanctions toward the Iranian government. But she said the outreach was being directed to ordinary Iranians who’ve suffered as a result of their government’s “reckless” conduct regarding its uranium enrichment activities, fomenting of unrest in neighboring countries and its role in the alleged terror plot to assassinate Saudi Arabia’s ambassador in Washington.

The U.S. hasn’t had an embassy in Iran since breaking off diplomatic relations shortly after the 1979 Islamic Revolution. Iran, likewise, has no embassy in Washington, but Clinton said President Barack Obama has tried to entreat Tehran into negotiations.

Separately Wednesday, Rep. Peter King, R-N.Y., said the U.S. should kick out Iranian officials at the United Nations in New York and in Washington because many of them are spies. King said the move would be an appropriate response to alleged plot against the Saudi ambassador, but the State Department rejected the suggestion.

“First of all, we don’t have any Iranian diplomats in Washington because we don’t have diplomatic relations with Iran,” department spokeswoman Victoria Nuland said. Concerning Iranian diplomats in New York, she said the U.S. as the host nation for the U.N. was obliged to allow diplomats from all countries that are members of the global body.

Clinton, who celebrated her 64th birthday Wednesday, spoke with the BBC and “Parazit,” a Persian-language program run by Voice of America that follows the news satire format popularized in the U.S. by the “Daily Show.” Yet she spoke seriously about her fears that Iran was becoming a more entrenched “military dictatorship” threatening countries in its region and beyond.

On Iran’s uranium enrichment activities, Clinton said, “Everyone believes that the covert actions, the covert facilities, the misleading information is part of an attempt by the regime to acquire nuclear weapons.” Iran says the program is solely for producing energy, but she claimed the evidence suggests otherwise.

The U.S. already has a series of sanctions on the Iranian economy, but Clinton said new measures were being examined to pressure the government into being a better global citizen. Iran’s central bank and the economic activities of the hardline Revolutionary Guard Corps and Quds Force are possible targets, she suggested.

Clinton also spoke of Iran’s efforts to jam Internet sites and track dissident activity on the Internet, part of a policy that she deemed an “electronic curtain.” She said Iran’s was the most effective government in the world in disrupting Internet and telephone communication.

“It’s the 21st century equivalent of the barbed wire and the fences and the dogs that the old Soviet used, because they come at it from the same mentality,” Clinton said. “They want totalitarian control over what you learn and what you say and even what you think and how you worship and all the things that go to the heart of human dignity and human freedom.”

The U.S. is continuing work on creating new technologies to help dissidents and regime opponents circumvent censorship and monitoring, Clinton said. She called it one of her highest priorities.

Yet she also expressed some regret for the U.S. government’s tepid support for the opposition Green Movement after Iran’s disputed 2009 presidential election. Unlike in Libya, where the U.S. and other countries intervened to protect people protesting against Moammar Gadhafi’s dictatorship, Clinton noted that the Iranian demonstrators insisted that they wanted no U.S. help.

“We were torn,” she said. “It was a very tough time for us because we wanted to be full-hearted in favor of what was going on inside Iran and we kept being cautioned that we would put people’s lives in danger, we would discredit the movement, we would undermine their aspirations.

“I think if something were to happen again, it would be smart for the Green Movement, or some other movement inside Iran, to say we want the voices of the world, we want the support of the world behind us.”

 

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Former IRNA chief Abdollah Naseri receives 5-year jail-term

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GVF — Former head of the Islamic Republic New Agency (IRNA), Abdollah Naseri, has been sentenced to five years in prison.

According to the pro-reform Kaleme website, the former journalist and university professor has been sentenced to five years in prison on charges of “collusion” and “assembly” against the state.

Naseri, a member of the Mujahedin of the Islamic Revolution Organisation, one of Iran’s most prominent reformist parties, was arrested ahead of pro-opposition rallies in mid-February. He was released on bail weeks later.

 

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Out of Iraq

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The U.S. withdrawal will only strengthen Iran’s already strong ties with the Shiite government.

By Frederick W. Kagan and Kimberly KaganOctober 27, 2011

 
Iran has just defeated the United States in Iraq.

The American withdrawal, which comes after the administration’s failure to secure a new agreement that would have allowed troops to remain in Iraq, won’t be good for ordinary Iraqis or for the region. But it will unquestionably benefit Iran.

President Obama‘s February 2009 speech at Camp Lejeune accurately defined the U.S. goal for Iraq as “an Iraq that is sovereign, stable and self-reliant.” He then outlined how the U.S. would achieve that goal by working “to promote an Iraqi government that is just, representative and accountable, and that provides neither support nor safe haven to terrorists.”

Despite recent administration claims to the contrary, Iraq today meets none of those conditions. Its sovereignty is hollow because of the continued activities of Iranian-backed militias in its territory. Its stability is fragile, since the fundamental disputes among ethnic and sectarian groups remain unresolved. And it is not in any way self-reliant. The Iraqi military cannot protect its borders, its airspace or its territorial waters without foreign assistance.

Although Obama has clearly failed to achieve the goals for Iraq that he set five weeks after taking office, Iran, in contrast, is well on its way to achieving its strategic objectives. Since 2004, Tehran has sought to drive all American forces out of the country, to promote a weak, Shiite-led government in Baghdad, to develop Hezbollah-like political-militia organizations in Iraq through which to exert influence and intimidate pro-Western Iraqi leaders, and to insinuate its theocratic ideology into Iraq’s Shiite clerical establishment. It has largely succeeded in achieving each of those goals.

Preventing the extension of a Status of Forces Agreement allowing American military forces to remain in Iraq has been the primary goal of Iranian activities in Iraq since 2008. That year, the then-commander of U.S. forces in Iraq, Gen. Ray Odierno, told the Washington Post that he had seen intelligence reports suggesting that Tehran and its agents bribed Iraqi leaders to derail a new agreement. Iranian-backed militants also attempted to conduct an intimidation campaign to deter Iraqi officials from signing the extension. But back then, the Iraqi security forces and American troops had just defeated the Shiite militias in major battles in Sadr City and Basra and driven their commanders back into hiding in Iran. Their attempts to drive the U.S. out at the end of 2008 failed.

This year, however, Shiite militants were able to execute a campaign of targeted assassinations. They also increased rocket and IED attacks on U.S. and Iraqi security forces using technologies that they had tried unsuccessfully to field in 2008 but have since perfected. Militias that had been badly damaged during a surge by U.S. forces were able to reconstitute during the protracted government-formation process, because Iraqi politicians were unwilling to support attacks on groups affiliated with Muqtada Sadr, whose backing was needed for Prime Minister Nouri Maliki‘s continued premiership.

Opponents of the U.S. presence in Iraq have long argued that the withdrawal of American forces would reduce anti-American sentiment and violence, denying the militias their excuse for continued operations. Sadr does not see it that way.

Two days after the president’s announcement, Sadr declared that even an expanded U.S. diplomatic presence in Baghdad would be a continued occupation. Speaking of American diplomats in Iraq, he said, “They are all occupiers, and resisting them after the end of the agreement is an obligation.” This declaration was all the more remarkable in that he had announced Thursday, before Obama’s speech, that a residual American presence could be accepted after a “complete withdrawal,” payment of “compensation” and the signing of a new agreement. Far from assuaging Sadr’s anti-Americanism, the announcement of U.S. retreat has apparently fueled it and driven him (or his Iranian backers) to seek an even greater success through continued attacks on the U.S. Embassy and its personnel.

Many Americans felt a sense of relief when the president announced that “America’s war in Iraq is over.” That relief must be tempered, however, by the recognition that Tehran has achieved its goals in Iraq while the U.S. has not. Henceforth, Iranian proxy militias are likely to expand their training bases in southern Iraq and use them as staging areas for operations throughout the Persian Gulf.

An Iraq dependent on Iran for survival could undercut any sanctions that the international community places on Iran to prevent its acquisition of nuclear weapons. And the unresolved ethnic and sectarian disputes in Iraq are likely to devolve into armed conflict once again. In a year that also saw the “Arab Spring,” it will ultimately be Iran that emerges ascendant in Iraq and throughout the Middle East. America’s defeat is nothing to be relieved about.

Frederick W. Kagan is a resident scholar and director of the Critical Threats Project at the American Enterprise Institute for Public Policy Research. Kimberly Kagan is president of the Institute for the Study of War.

Clinton: US confused by ‘power struggle’ in Iran

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US efforts to reach out to Iran have been hurt by confusion over who is running the country, Secretary of State Hillary Clinton has told BBC Persian.

“We’re not quite sure who makes decisions anymore inside of Iran,” she said.

Mrs Clinton said that she believes the country is morphing into a military dictatorship.

The door remains open, however, for talks with Tehran on its nuclear program.

She said the State Department was planning to open a “virtual embassy” by the end of 2011, to give Iranians online information about visas and student exchange programs.

The United States, which has imposed sanctions on Iran, broke formal ties with the country in 1980.

‘A very strong case’

Mrs Clinton said that a power struggle within the Iranian government could potentially be a positive opportunity for Iranians.

“I think there is an opportunity for people within the country to try to influence how that debate turns out,” she said.

American’s top diplomat said she was aware of the scepticism around the US’s charges that Iran was tied to a plot to assassinate the Saudi ambassador to the US in Washington DC.

Mrs Clinton said the US had a “very strong case” and that the plot was representative of organisations like the Quds force becoming “more reckless”.

She also accused Iran of showing “aggressive behaviour” towards its neighbours and of trying to “hijack and undermine the so-called Arab Spring awakening”.

“We do not want a conflict with Iran but we do want to see the rulers of Iran change their outlook and their behaviour,” she said.

 

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NY state speaker: bar oil co’s that invest in Iran

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Reuters – Companies and individuals that invest in Iran’s energy sector would be barred from doing business with New York state and its municipalities under a bill proposed by the state Assembly speaker.

Democratic Assembly Speaker Sheldon Silver said “the prohibition is necessary because of Iran’s role in state-sponsored terrorism, pursuit of nuclear weapons and threat to world peace,” according to a copy of his schedule.

The bill, which Silver plans to unveil on Thursday, is modeled after a similar proposal in California.

If enacted by New York, the Office of General Services would have to review 50 companies that California has identified as possibly qualifying for such a curb.

That list of companies includes heavyweight public and national firms: Broken Hill Proprietary Billiton, China National Petroleum Corp, Hyundai Motor Co , Hyundai Heavy Industries , Indian Oil Corp , LUKOIL , Norsk Hydro ASA , Petroleos de Venezuela, Sinopec Corp , and Total SA .

Spokesmen for Democratic Governor Andrew Cuomo and Republican Senate Majority Leader Dean Skelos had no immediate comment.

 

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Release of Iranian actress highlights plight of detained filmmakers

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The release of an Iranian actress sentenced to 90 lashes and a year in prison after appearing in a banned film highlights the need to release other detained filmmakers in Iran, Amnesty International said today.

Marzieh Vafamehr, who was arrested after starring in the Australian film My Tehran for Sale was released Monday night. One scene in the film shows her without the head-covering Iranian women are required to wear,,while she appears to drink alcohol in another.

The actress seems to have been released after an appeal court reduced her imprisonment to three months and overturned the flogging sentence.

“In recent months an increasing number of filmmakers and actors have been targeted for persecution in Iran. While the release of Marzieh Vafamehr is a welcome development, it is deeply worrying that three filmmakers are still being held in Tehran’s Evin Prison,” said Hassiba Hadj Sahraoui, Amnesty International’s Deputy Director for Middle East and North Africa

“Their continued detention illustrates the Iranian authorities’ desperate efforts to stifle any form of dissent. These people have done nothing except sell their documentaries to a foreign broadcaster or make a film about a banned director.. They should be released immediately and unconditionally,” she added.

Three documentary directors – Hadi Afarideh, Naser Saffarian, Mohsen Shahrnazdar ; and  producer and distributor, Katayoun Shahabi were arrested on 17 September 2011.  All four are believed to have sold their films to a variety of broadcasters, including the BBC’s Persian service.

The Iranian authorities say filmmakers cannot cooperate with foreign satellite channels without permission.

Cooperating with the BBC or the Voice of America is particularly controversial. Police chief Esma’il Ahmadi-Moghaddam recently said it was tantamount to working with enemy security services and will be treated “seriously”.

Three of the group – Hadi Afarideh, Naser Saffarian and Mohsen Shahrnazdar- have since been released on bail, but Katayoun Shahabi is thought to remain in custody.

Another film director, Mehran Zinatbakhsh, is also believed to have been arrested in September and is being held in Evin Prison. The exact charges against him are not known.

Documentary director Mojtaba Mir Tahmasb also remains in prison after being arrested on 17 September 2011. He was jailed after making the documentary This is Not a Film,  about the life of banned film director Ja’far Panahi.

Panahi was sentenced to six years’ imprisonment in December 2010 after being convicted of “acting against state security”” and “propaganda against the system”. He was also banned from travelling abroad and talking to domestic or international media,

Another internationally celebrated director, Mohammad Rasoulof was given a six year jail term at the same time as Panahi after being convicted on similar charges. He later had his sentence reduced to one year on appeal. A travel ban against him was lifted in May this year.

Both Panahi and Rasoulof remain free awaiting the implementation of their sentences.

Amnesty International considers all these filmmakers to be prisoners of conscience, detained solely for peacefully exercising their right to freedom of expression in their work.

The right to freedom of expression includes the “freedom to seek, receive and impart information and ideas of all kinds, regardless of frontiers, either orally, in writing or in print, in the form of art, or through any other media”.

 

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Iranian Parliament divided over bank fraud case

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Iranian lawmakers have announced that if the report on Iran’s huge bank fraud is to be read in parliament, it must be read in full, without omitting the names of five MPs involved in the case.

The Etemad daily reported today that an emergency meeting of MPs this morning led to the decision not to publicly read the bank fraud file in Parliament.

The record-setting bank fraud was uncovered two months ago, when it was revealed that $3 billion had been stolen through the sale of false letters of credit to eight banks, which included the Bank of Saderat and the Melli Bank.

The Iranian judiciary has announced that a number of government officials were involved in the embezzlement case, and some have directly pointed the finger at Mahmoud Ahamdinejad’s chief of staff, Esfandiar Rahim Mashai.

Now the accusations extend to Aleaeddin Boroujerdi, the head of Parliament’s National Security Commission and Foreign Policy, as well as his son.

Etemad reports that six pages of the case have been omitted from the file, and today the MPs were divided on whether to demand a full public reading.

Ayatollah Khamenei had earlier criticized the persistence of media and government officials in stoking controversy over the bank fraud case.

 

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5 people, 4 companies indicted in Iran exports

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AP — Five people and four companies have been indicted for allegedly plotting to export 6,000 radio control devices to Iran, including 16 of the items that were found in improvised explosive devices in Iraq, the Justice Department announced Tuesday.

Authorities in Singapore arrested four people in the case Monday. The fifth defendant is a resident of Iran who remains at large.

According to the indictment, in 2008 and 2009, U.S.-led forces in Iraq recovered numerous radio controls manufactured by a Minnesota firm used in a remote detonation system for IEDs. The radio devices can transmit data wirelessly as far as 40 miles with a powerful antenna.

The defendants allegedly made tens of thousands of dollars for arranging the transportation of the 6,000 radio devices in five shipments from June 2007 to February 2008.

Some of the defendants also are accused of conspiracy involving exports of military antennas to Singapore and Hong Kong.

The defendant who is at large, Hossein Larijani, is a citizen of Iran. The four people arrested are all citizens of Singapore. They are Wong Yuh Lan, Lim Yong Nam, Lim Kow Seng and Hia Soo Gan Benson.

Wong, Nam, Seng and Hia allegedly conspired in the shipment of 6,000 of the radio control devices from a Minnesota company through Singapore to Iran.

The indictment in federal court in Washington alleges conspiracy to defraud the U.S., smuggling, illegal export of goods from the U.S. to Iran, illegal export of defense articles from the U.S., false statements and obstruction of justice.

Assistant attorney general Lisa Monaco says the charges underscore the ongoing threat posed by Iranian networks seeking to obtain U.S. technology. Monaco runs the Justice Department’s national security division.

In a coordinated move, the Commerce Department added the five defendants and 10 other persons and companies associated with this alleged conspiracy in China, Hong Kong, Iran and Singapore to its Entity List. With this move, the Commerce Department required that a U.S. government license be obtained before any item subject to Commerce regulation can be exported to the 15, with a presumption that such a license would be denied.

IEDs caused roughly 60 percent of American combat casualties in Iraq between 2001 and 2007, according to the indictment.

The defendants allegedly communicated with one another about U.S. laws prohibiting the export of U.S.-origin goods to Iran. From October 2007 to June 2009, Nam contacted Larijani in Iran at least half a dozen times and discussed the Iran prohibitions and U.S. prosecutions for violation of these laws, according to the indictment. Nam allegedly told U.S. authorities he had never participated in illicit exports to Iran, even though he had participated in five such shipments.

Larijani, 47, was charged along with his companies Paya Electronics Complex, based in Iran, and Opto Electronics Pte, Ltd., based in Singapore. Wong, 39, was an agent of Opto Electronics; he was allegedly supervised by Larijani from Iran. The indictment also charged NEL Electronics Pte. Ltd., a company in Singapore, along with NEL’s owner and director, Nam, 37. The indictment charged Corezing International Pte. Ltd., a company in Singapore that maintained offices in China. Seng, 42, was allegedly an agent of Corezing. Hia, 44, was allegedly a manager, director and agent of Corezing.

In January 2010, the U.S. Commerce Department placed Larijani’s company, Opto Electronics, on the list of companies that cannot buy items that have a military use without obtaining U.S. government licenses.

From Iran, Larijani repeatedly asked the Commerce Department to remove his company from the list.

Commerce Department officials replied that Larijani needed to disclose whether he or his firm had any involvement with Majid Kakavand or Evertop Services Sdn Bhd. Kakavand is an accused Iranian procurement agent under indictment in the U.S., along with his Malaysian company, Evertop Services. Kakavand, a fugitive believed to be in Iran, and Evertop are accused of illegally exporting U.S. goods to military entities in Iran for that nation’s nuclear and ballistic missile programs.

On three occasions, Larijani denied to the Commerce Department that he or his company, Opto Electronics, had done any business with Kakavand or Evertop Services. The indictment says Larijani had been in communication with others about his business dealings with Kakavand on at least five occasions from 2006 through 2009.

In a separate alleged conspiracy, Seng, Hia and the Corezing firm were involved in the illegal export to Singapore and Hong Kong of two types of military antennas used aboard ships and military aircraft such as the F-4 Phantom, the F-15, the F-111, the A-10 Thunderbolt II and the F-16 combat jet. The antennas were shipped from a Massachusetts company to Singapore and Hong Kong without a required State Department license

Tehran’s new plan to dominate the region – and beyond

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CNN – While much of the world’s attention focuses on Iran’s nuclear program, Tehran has made considerable progress on another security front in recent years – steadily increasing the reach and lethality of its naval forces. The goal by 2025, if all goes as the country has planned, is to have a navy that can deploy anywhere within a strategic triangle from the Strait of Hormuz to the Red Sea to the Strait of Malacca.

Should such plans materialize – and Iran is making steady progress – Tehran would redraw the strategic calculus of an already volatile region. The Persian Gulf is home to some of the world’s most valuable supply lines, routes that are vital to the global energy supply. In the last few years, Iran has invested heavily in a domestic defense industry that now has the ability to produce large-scale warships, submarines, and missiles.

Since the end of the Iran-Iraq War in 1988, Iran has largely pursued a strategy of deterrence. Its ground forces, which number roughly 450,000, are trained and equipped to fight a prolonged, asymmetric defensive battle on its own territory. Likewise, Iran’s air force can protect high value domestic targets such as the Natanz uranium enrichment facility and numerous military and political headquarters inside Tehran; it is incapable of long-range strike missions abroad. Iran simply does not possess the capability to project hard power into neighboring states.

But Iran’s navy is different. It is the best organized, best trained, and best equipped service of the country’s conventional military establishment. More than a nuclear weapons program, which would likely function as a passive deterrent, Iran’s navy is an active component of Iran’s activist foreign policy. The country’s leadership, including Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, has repeatedly said that Iran’s navy is the critical foundation on which its long-term development and prosperity rests.

Iran actually has two navies – the Islamic Republic of Iran Navy (IRIN) and the vaunted Iran Revolutionary Guard Corps Navy (IRGCN). The responsibilities of both have been expanding since 2007. The IRIN operates conventional surface and subsurface platforms and fulfills a more traditional naval role. It is now responsible for the Caspian Sea, the Gulf of Oman, and the blue waters outside the Persian Gulf. The IRGCN, which executes asymmetric operations with swarms of small boats that overwhelm the defenses of larger ships, has been tasked with defending the Persian Gulf and Strait of Hormuz. This reorganization reflects Tehran’s desire to be a naval power that can deploy and operate well outside Persian Gulf waters (via the IRIN) while still retaining formidable coastal defenses in the Persian Gulf (via the IRGCN).

Evidence of Iran’s growing naval assertiveness is already on display. In December 2010, Iran participated in a training exercise with Djibouti during a port call there. Tehran sailed away from that engagement with a partnership agreement that could allow Iran to use Djibouti as a logistical base supporting a larger and persistent Iranian presence in the Gulf of Aden and the Red Sea. Two months later, for the first time since 1979, Iran sent two ships through the Suez Canal to the Eastern Mediterranean, inducing the ire of both Israel and the United States. Neither country retaliated, but Israel closely tracked the ships as they sailed along the Israeli coast. This summer, Iran sent one of its Kilo class submarines to the Red Sea on a counter-piracy operation. Finally, Iran recently asserted plans to send naval patrols to the Western Atlantic. Although Iran probably doesn’t have the capacity for such a mission, this kind of rhetoric speaks to Tehran’s grand ambitions and is a way of emphasizing what it sees as the illegitimacy of the U.S. naval presence in the Persian Gulf.

On numerous occasions in recent years, IRGCN small boats have come dangerously close to U.S. and Western naval ships operating in the Persian Gulf. By all accounts, this is not an abnormal occurrence and usually ends with the small boat being turned away. But a recent change has increased the danger of escalation. Since 2005, Iran has been decentralizing command and control, not requiring subordinate commanders to get approval for all actions from senior leaders in Tehran. Thus, an IRGCN boat commander was able to take the initiative and capture a small crew of British sailors in 2007, a tactical action with strategic consequences. Should the IRGCN become more assertive, such engagements could spiral out of control.

Iran’s emboldened navy is also increasing the country’s influence throughout the region. The navy is the only service with the operational reach to visit countries that do not share a border with Iran. These visits help foster good political relations, but, more important, they provide a foundation for military-to-military ties that can also yield operational benefits. For example, using ports in places such as Djibouti as resupply points allows Iran to increase the length and duration of deployments to waters outside its navy’s traditional areas of operation. More worryingly, such an extended reach could also allow the IRIN to deliver weapons to various Iranian proxy groups abroad.

Moreover, the United States must now contend with the presence of IRIN ships well outside the Persian Gulf. This has enormous implications for U.S. military planners and commanders – for example, it could force the U.S. Navy to implement increased force protection measures in waters, such as the Red Sea, that were once considered less volatile. Iran could soon have the ability to deny the U.S. entry through the Strait of Hormuz and into the Persian Gulf.

In many ways, the origins of Iran’s naval buildup stem from embargoes that the U.S. slapped on Tehran during its war with Iraq, more than two decades ago. Since then, Tehran has sought what it calls “self-sufficiency.” It has invested heavily in a domestic defense industrial base. Employing Chinese, Russian, and North Korean technology, Iran has begun building its own ships, submarines, and missiles.

That industry is now producing. In 2010, the IRIN put its first domestically manufactured traditional surface combatant, the Mowj class destroyer, to sea. Tehran has also built four Combattante II class guided missile patrol boats. In August 2010, it expanded the Peykaap/Tir class line, a fast-attack craft capable of carrying anti-ship cruise missiles and hitting a cruising speed of 55 knots. The U.S. Office of Naval Intelligence says that these programs “demonstrate Iran’s ability to produce mid- to large-size ships” and “will likely be followed by others.”

Iran is also producing its own submarines and missiles. It has added multiple Ghadir class mini-subs to its order of battle since the reorganization. In 2007, Iran had only three in service. Now it has eleven, with another nine expected in the next three years. In 2008 Tehran announced the opening of a production line for a larger, more potent submarine platform, the 1,000 ton Qa’em class. It is working on its own missile designs, too, by reverse-engineering older Chinese models. The IRGCN test fired one such missile last spring, claiming an effective range of 186 miles. Last month, Tehran announced that it had begun full production of one based on those tests.

Reaction to the buildup in the Gulf has been mixed. For most of the six states that make up the Gulf Cooperation Council, Iran’s nuclear program remains the dominant regional security concern. With the United States’ Fifth Fleet stationed in Bahrain and serving as the prime guarantor of maritime security across the region, the GCC has displayed little angst over Iran’s growing naval power. Saudi Arabia, however, has been taking Tehran’s growing assertiveness seriously. According to news reports, Riyadh is looking to spend another $30 billion to upgrade the Royal Saudi Navy (on top of the $60 billion arms deal that Washington and Riyadh signed in 2010). Final word on the new agreement could be announced by the end of the year.

Washington, meanwhile, has responded in a few different ways. Then Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Admiral Mike Mullen suggested last month that Tehran and Washington link up a hotline to avoid miscommunication and prevent accidental tactical naval engagements from spiraling out of control. Tehran rejected the idea, presumably because it would give legitimacy to an ongoing U.S. naval presence in the Persian Gulf. Asked about Iran’s September announcement that it would deploy naval vessels to the U.S. Atlantic coast, White House spokesman Jay Carney dismissed the possibility, saying that the White House did not take such pronouncements seriously.

Iran will obviously never reach naval parity with the United States, but the GCC countries, even with their newer, Western-supplied ships, would likely find themselves on the losing end of a naval engagement with Iran, mainly because of their minimal force numbers and their inability to coordinate any naval campaign. As long as the United States continues to provide maritime security in the Middle East, the GCC will be able to rest easy. But Iran has a head start and the GCC should start thinking about implementing a naval modernization and development plan of its own.

 

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